Research

SMA 1H — Energy Zone Transition Trends

Updated to candle

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Sample: 792 candles 1H from 2023-08-02 to 2026-08-28

SMABear Extreme 1H

Occurrences: 44 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 44 times 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times 0%

SMABear Critical 1H

Occurrences: 29 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 18 times 62.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 11 times 37.9%

SMABear Bias 1H

Occurrences: 41 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 23 times 56.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 18 times 43.9%

SMANeutral 1H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 31 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 17 times 54.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 14 times 45.2%

Current market energy at -2.2%
Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 23.08 points
Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 18.68 points

SMABull Bias 1H

Occurrences: 41 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 18 times 43.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 23 times 56.1%

SMABull Critical 1H

Occurrences: 33 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 19 times 57.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 14 times 42.4%

SMABull Extreme 1H

Occurrences: 48 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 48 times 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of SMA?

Historically, when SMA was in the Neutral zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 54.8% of the time and down to a lower zone 45.2% of the time (across 31 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%. The market is at -2.2%, 23.08 points from the upper bound and 18.68 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 792 candles from 2023-08-02 to 2026-08-28, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing SMA's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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