SMA 1H: Energy Zone Transition Trends
Candle close
- Study type
- Historical statistics
- Question answered
- Direction of market moves
- Principle
- Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
- Candles studied
- 826 SMA 1H candles
- Period
- 2023-08-02 – 2026-10-22 (3.2 years)
- Result
- 7-zone table below ↓
Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.
SMA — Bear Extreme — 1H
Occurrences: 44 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 44 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%
SMA — Bear Critical — 1H
Occurrences: 29 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 18 times — 62.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 11 times — 37.9%
SMA — Bear Bias — 1H
Occurrences: 41 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 23 times — 56.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 18 times — 43.9%
SMA — Neutral — 1H
◉ CURRENT CANDLEOccurrences: 31 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 17 times — 54.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 14 times — 45.2%
Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 20.87 points
Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 20.89 points
SMA — Bull Bias — 1H
Occurrences: 41 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 18 times — 43.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 23 times — 56.1%
SMA — Bull Critical — 1H
Occurrences: 33 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 19 times — 57.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 14 times — 42.4%
SMA — Bull Extreme — 1H
Occurrences: 48 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 48 times — 100%
What is the trend of SMA?
Historically, when SMA was in the Neutral zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 54.8% of the time and down to a lower zone 45.2% of the time (across 31 observations).
Where is the market within its current zone?
The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%. The market is at 0.01%, 20.87 points from the upper bound and 20.89 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.
How are these statistics calculated?
Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.
Where does the data come from and how many candles?
The sample contains 826 candles from 2023-08-02 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.
Are these numbers a prediction?
No. These are historical frequencies describing SMA's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.
What are the 7 market energy states?
Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.
See all 7 Market States →To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .