Research

NAS100 4H — Energy Zone Transition Trends

Updated to candle

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Sample: 17,994 candles 4H from 2014-12-31 to 2026-08-28

NAS100Bear Extreme 4H

Occurrences: 621 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 621 times 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times 0%

NAS100Bear Critical 4H

Occurrences: 779 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 537 times 68.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 242 times 31.1%

NAS100Bear Bias 4H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 1,157 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 733 times 63.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 424 times 36.6%

Current market energy at -41.6%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 20.72 points
Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 18.4 points

NAS100Neutral 4H

Occurrences: 1,179 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 646 times 54.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 533 times 45.2%

NAS100Bull Bias 4H

Occurrences: 1,297 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 645 times 49.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 652 times 50.3%

NAS100Bull Critical 4H

Occurrences: 988 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 420 times 42.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 568 times 57.5%

NAS100Bull Extreme 4H

Occurrences: 884 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 884 times 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of NAS100?

Historically, when NAS100 was in the Bear Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 63.4% of the time and down to a lower zone 36.6% of the time (across 1,157 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%. The market is at -41.6%, 20.72 points from the upper bound and 18.4 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 17,994 candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-08-28, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing NAS100's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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