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Research

NAS100 4H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
18,217 NAS100 4H candles
Period
2014-12-31 – 2026-10-22 (11.8 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
WD1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Bull Extreme894 times
↑0%
↓100%
Bull Critical1,002 times
↑42.1%
↓57.9%
Bull Bias1,320 times
↑49.7%
↓50.3%
Neutral1,202 times
↑54.8%
↓45.2%
Bear Bias1,176 times
↑63.4%
↓36.6%
Bear Critical789 times
↑68.9%
↓31.1%
Bear Extreme★★632 times
↑100%
↓0%
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Market Energy→Market State→Threshold→Bear Extreme→Sellers→

NAS100 — Bear Extreme — 4H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 632 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 632 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

Current market energy at -95.32%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 20.82 points
Distance to bottom -100%: 4.68 points

NAS100 — Bear Critical — 4H

Occurrences: 789 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 544 times — 68.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 245 times — 31.1%

NAS100 — Bear Bias — 4H

Occurrences: 1,176 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 745 times — 63.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 431 times — 36.6%

NAS100 — Neutral — 4H

Occurrences: 1,202 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 659 times — 54.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 543 times — 45.2%

NAS100 — Bull Bias — 4H

Occurrences: 1,320 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 656 times — 49.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 664 times — 50.3%

NAS100 — Bull Critical — 4H

Occurrences: 1,002 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 422 times — 42.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 580 times — 57.9%

NAS100 — Bull Extreme — 4H

Occurrences: 894 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 894 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of NAS100?

Historically, when NAS100 was in the Bear Extreme zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 100% of the time and down to a lower zone 0% of the time (across 632 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%. The market is at -95.32%, 20.82 points from the upper bound and 4.68 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 18,217 candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing NAS100's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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