Research

NAS100 D: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
4,128 NAS100 D candles
Period
2013-01-03 – 2026-10-21 (13.8 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
W4H1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

NAS100 — Bear Extreme — D

Occurrences: 135 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 135 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

NAS100 — Bear Critical — D

Occurrences: 189 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 131 times — 69.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 58 times — 30.7%

NAS100 — Bear Bias — D

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 313 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 200 times — 63.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 113 times — 36.1%

Current market energy at -45.15%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 24.27 points
Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 14.85 points

NAS100 — Neutral — D

Occurrences: 365 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 220 times — 60.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 145 times — 39.7%

NAS100 — Bull Bias — D

Occurrences: 427 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 223 times — 52.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 204 times — 47.8%

NAS100 — Bull Critical — D

Occurrences: 323 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 139 times — 43%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 184 times — 57%

NAS100 — Bull Extreme — D

Occurrences: 253 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 253 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of NAS100?

Historically, when NAS100 was in the Bear Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 63.9% of the time and down to a lower zone 36.1% of the time (across 313 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%. The market is at -45.15%, 24.27 points from the upper bound and 14.85 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 4,128 candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-10-21, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing NAS100's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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