Research

NAS100 1H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
70,431 NAS100 1H candles
Period
2015-01-01 – 2026-10-22 (11.8 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
WD4H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

NAS100 — Bear Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 2,295 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 2,295 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

NAS100 — Bear Critical — 1H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 3,012 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 2,140 times — 71%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 872 times — 29%

Current market energy at -73.85%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 13.85 points
Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 0.65 points

NAS100 — Bear Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 4,830 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 3,094 times — 64.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 1,736 times — 35.9%

NAS100 — Neutral — 1H

Occurrences: 5,118 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 2,787 times — 54.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 2,331 times — 45.5%

NAS100 — Bull Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 5,358 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 2,388 times — 44.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 2,970 times — 55.4%

NAS100 — Bull Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 3,638 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 1,285 times — 35.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 2,353 times — 64.7%

NAS100 — Bull Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 2,867 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 2,867 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of NAS100?

Historically, when NAS100 was in the Bear Critical zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 71% of the time and down to a lower zone 29% of the time (across 3,012 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%. The market is at -73.85%, 13.85 points from the upper bound and 0.65 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 70,431 candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing NAS100's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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