Research

MSR W: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
571 MSR W candles
Period
2015-09-21 – 2026-10-12 (11.1 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
D1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

MSR — Bear Extreme — W

Occurrences: 16 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 16 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

MSR — Bear Critical — W

Occurrences: 26 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 17 times — 65.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 9 times — 34.6%

MSR — Bear Bias — W

Occurrences: 44 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 23 times — 52.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 21 times — 47.7%

MSR — Neutral — W

Occurrences: 57 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 25 times — 43.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 32 times — 56.1%

MSR — Bull Bias — W

Occurrences: 42 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 10 times — 23.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 32 times — 76.2%

MSR — Bull Critical — W

Occurrences: 24 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 8 times — 33.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 16 times — 66.7%

MSR — Bull Extreme — W

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 18 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 18 times — 100%

Current market energy at 84.42%
Distance to peak 100%: 15.58 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 9.92 points
FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of MSR?

Historically, when MSR was in the Bull Extreme zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 0% of the time and down to a lower zone 100% of the time (across 18 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%. The market is at 84.42%, 15.58 points from the upper bound and 9.92 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 571 candles from 2015-09-21 to 2026-10-12, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing MSR's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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