Research

MSR D: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
2,771 MSR D candles
Period
2015-09-18 – 2026-10-22 (11.1 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
W1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

MSR — Bear Extreme — D

Occurrences: 97 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 97 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

MSR — Bear Critical — D

Occurrences: 142 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 106 times — 74.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 36 times — 25.4%

MSR — Bear Bias — D

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 222 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 106 times — 47.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 116 times — 52.3%

Current market energy at -30.03%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 9.15 points
Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 29.97 points

MSR — Neutral — D

Occurrences: 206 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 91 times — 44.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 115 times — 55.8%

MSR — Bull Bias — D

Occurrences: 187 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 61 times — 32.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 126 times — 67.4%

MSR — Bull Critical — D

Occurrences: 129 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 30 times — 23.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 99 times — 76.7%

MSR — Bull Extreme — D

Occurrences: 93 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 93 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of MSR?

Historically, when MSR was in the Bear Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 47.7% of the time and down to a lower zone 52.3% of the time (across 222 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%. The market is at -30.03%, 9.15 points from the upper bound and 29.97 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 2,771 candles from 2015-09-18 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing MSR's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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