Research

MPC W: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
620 MPC W candles
Period
2012-03-26 – 2026-10-12 (14.5 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
D1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

MPC — Bear Extreme — W

Occurrences: 10 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 10 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

MPC — Bear Critical — W

Occurrences: 10 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 7 times — 70%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 3 times — 30%

MPC — Bear Bias — W

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 35 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 29 times — 82.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 6 times — 17.1%

Current market energy at -49.39%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 28.51 points
Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 10.61 points

MPC — Neutral — W

Occurrences: 58 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 30 times — 51.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 28 times — 48.3%

MPC — Bull Bias — W

Occurrences: 61 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 21 times — 34.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 40 times — 65.6%

MPC — Bull Critical — W

Occurrences: 38 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 10 times — 26.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 28 times — 73.7%

MPC — Bull Extreme — W

Occurrences: 26 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 26 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of MPC?

Historically, when MPC was in the Bear Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 82.9% of the time and down to a lower zone 17.1% of the time (across 35 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%. The market is at -49.39%, 28.51 points from the upper bound and 10.61 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 620 candles from 2012-03-26 to 2026-10-12, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing MPC's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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