Research

MPC 1H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
3,764 MPC 1H candles
Period
2023-07-31 – 2026-10-22 (3.2 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
WD
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

MPC — Bear Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 102 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 102 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

MPC — Bear Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 101 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 79 times — 78.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 22 times — 21.8%

MPC — Bear Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 219 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 155 times — 70.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 64 times — 29.2%

MPC — Neutral — 1H

Occurrences: 301 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 166 times — 55.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 135 times — 44.9%

MPC — Bull Bias — 1H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 325 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 130 times — 40%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 195 times — 60%

Current market energy at 47.37%
Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 12.63 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 26.49 points

MPC — Bull Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 212 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 75 times — 35.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 137 times — 64.6%

MPC — Bull Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 191 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 191 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of MPC?

Historically, when MPC was in the Bull Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 40% of the time and down to a lower zone 60% of the time (across 325 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%. The market is at 47.37%, 12.63 points from the upper bound and 26.49 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 3,764 candles from 2023-07-31 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing MPC's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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