Research

MPC D: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
3,002 MPC D candles
Period
2012-03-21 – 2026-10-22 (14.6 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
W1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

MPC — Bear Extreme — D

Occurrences: 97 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 97 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

MPC — Bear Critical — D

Occurrences: 100 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 66 times — 66%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 34 times — 34%

MPC — Bear Bias — D

Occurrences: 175 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 106 times — 60.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 69 times — 39.4%

MPC — Neutral — D

Occurrences: 198 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 110 times — 55.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 88 times — 44.4%

MPC — Bull Bias — D

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 230 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 105 times — 45.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 125 times — 54.3%

Current market energy at 36.1%
Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 23.9 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 15.22 points

MPC — Bull Critical — D

Occurrences: 181 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 62 times — 34.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 119 times — 65.7%

MPC — Bull Extreme — D

Occurrences: 152 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 152 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of MPC?

Historically, when MPC was in the Bull Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 45.7% of the time and down to a lower zone 54.3% of the time (across 230 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%. The market is at 36.1%, 23.9 points from the upper bound and 15.22 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 3,002 candles from 2012-03-21 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing MPC's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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