Research

MCH W: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
504 MCH W candles
Period
2017-01-09 – 2026-10-12 (9.8 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
D1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

MCH — Bear Extreme — W

Occurrences: 13 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 13 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

MCH — Bear Critical — W

Occurrences: 21 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 15 times — 71.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 6 times — 28.6%

MCH — Bear Bias — W

Occurrences: 34 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 17 times — 50%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 17 times — 50%

MCH — Neutral — W

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 28 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 17 times — 60.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 11 times — 39.3%

Current market energy at 14.89%
Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 5.99 points
Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 35.77 points

MCH — Bull Bias — W

Occurrences: 41 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 19 times — 46.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 22 times — 53.7%

MCH — Bull Critical — W

Occurrences: 33 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 14 times — 42.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 19 times — 57.6%

MCH — Bull Extreme — W

Occurrences: 24 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 24 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of MCH?

Historically, when MCH was in the Neutral zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 60.7% of the time and down to a lower zone 39.3% of the time (across 28 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%. The market is at 14.89%, 5.99 points from the upper bound and 35.77 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 504 candles from 2017-01-09 to 2026-10-12, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing MCH's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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