Research

MCH D: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
2,438 MCH D candles
Period
2017-01-06 – 2026-10-22 (9.8 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
W1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

MCH — Bear Extreme — D

Occurrences: 92 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 92 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

MCH — Bear Critical — D

Occurrences: 76 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 46 times — 60.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 30 times — 39.5%

MCH — Bear Bias — D

Occurrences: 128 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 78 times — 60.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 50 times — 39.1%

MCH — Neutral — D

Occurrences: 158 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 85 times — 53.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 73 times — 46.2%

MCH — Bull Bias — D

Occurrences: 175 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 79 times — 45.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 96 times — 54.9%

MCH — Bull Critical — D

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 144 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 63 times — 43.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 81 times — 56.3%

Current market energy at 71.47%
Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 3.03 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 11.47 points

MCH — Bull Extreme — D

Occurrences: 135 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 135 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of MCH?

Historically, when MCH was in the Bull Critical zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 43.8% of the time and down to a lower zone 56.3% of the time (across 144 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%. The market is at 71.47%, 3.03 points from the upper bound and 11.47 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 2,438 candles from 2017-01-06 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing MCH's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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