2AI
2AITRADING
Behind the Price
Research

MCH 1H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
3,893 MCH 1H candles
Period
2023-07-31 – 2026-10-22 (3.2 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
WD
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Bull Extreme220 times
↑0%
↓100%
Bull Critical203 times
↑37.4%
↓62.6%
Bull Bias★★284 times
↑45.4%
↓54.6%
Neutral230 times
↑50.4%
↓49.6%
Bear Bias231 times
↑53.7%
↓46.3%
Bear Critical143 times
↑66.4%
↓33.6%
Bear Extreme154 times
↑100%
↓0%
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Market Energy→Market State→Threshold→Bull Bias→Buyers→

MCH — Bear Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 154 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 154 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

MCH — Bear Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 143 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 95 times — 66.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 48 times — 33.6%

MCH — Bear Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 231 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 124 times — 53.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 107 times — 46.3%

MCH — Neutral — 1H

Occurrences: 230 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 116 times — 50.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 114 times — 49.6%

MCH — Bull Bias — 1H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 284 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 129 times — 45.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 155 times — 54.6%

Current market energy at 48.16%
Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 11.84 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 27.28 points

MCH — Bull Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 203 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 76 times — 37.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 127 times — 62.6%

MCH — Bull Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 220 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 220 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of MCH?

Historically, when MCH was in the Bull Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 45.4% of the time and down to a lower zone 54.6% of the time (across 284 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%. The market is at 48.16%, 11.84 points from the upper bound and 27.28 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 3,893 candles from 2023-07-31 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing MCH's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .