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Research

HTM 1H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
1,247 HTM 1H candles
Period
2023-08-01 – 2026-10-21 (3.2 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
WD
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Bull Extreme98 times
↑0%
↓100%
Bull Critical61 times
↑37.7%
↓62.3%
Bull Bias★★70 times
↑47.1%
↓52.9%
Neutral52 times
↑42.3%
↓57.7%
Bear Bias107 times
↑38.3%
↓61.7%
Bear Critical62 times
↑64.5%
↓35.5%
Bear Extreme104 times
↑100%
↓0%
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Market Energy→Market State→Threshold→Bull Bias→Buyers→

HTM — Bear Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 104 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 104 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

HTM — Bear Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 62 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 40 times — 64.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 22 times — 35.5%

HTM — Bear Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 107 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 41 times — 38.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 66 times — 61.7%

HTM — Neutral — 1H

Occurrences: 52 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 22 times — 42.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 30 times — 57.7%

HTM — Bull Bias — 1H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 70 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 33 times — 47.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 37 times — 52.9%

Current market energy at 39.4%
Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 20.6 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 18.52 points

HTM — Bull Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 61 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 23 times — 37.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 38 times — 62.3%

HTM — Bull Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 98 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 98 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of HTM?

Historically, when HTM was in the Bull Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 47.1% of the time and down to a lower zone 52.9% of the time (across 70 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%. The market is at 39.4%, 20.6 points from the upper bound and 18.52 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 1,247 candles from 2023-08-01 to 2026-10-21, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing HTM's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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