Research

HTM D: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
1,759 HTM D candles
Period
2018-05-07 – 2026-10-09 (8.4 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
ENERGY SHIFTS
▲ to a higher zone▼ to a lower zone★ current position

HTM — Bear Extreme — D

Occurrences: 110 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 110 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

HTM — Bear Critical — D

Occurrences: 89 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 60 times — 67.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 29 times — 32.6%

HTM — Bear Bias — D

Occurrences: 139 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 69 times — 49.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 70 times — 50.4%

HTM — Neutral — D

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 108 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 52 times — 48.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 56 times — 51.9%

Current market energy at 16.37%
Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 4.51 points
Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 37.25 points

HTM — Bull Bias — D

Occurrences: 107 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 38 times — 35.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 69 times — 64.5%

HTM — Bull Critical — D

Occurrences: 60 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 18 times — 30%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 42 times — 70%

HTM — Bull Extreme — D

Occurrences: 96 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 96 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of HTM?

Historically, when HTM was in the Neutral zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 48.1% of the time and down to a lower zone 51.9% of the time (across 108 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%. The market is at 16.37%, 4.51 points from the upper bound and 37.25 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 1,759 candles from 2018-05-07 to 2026-10-09, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing HTM's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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