Research

HTM W: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
425 HTM W candles
Period
2018-05-07 – 2026-09-30 (8.4 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
ENERGY SHIFTS
▲ to a higher zone▼ to a lower zone★ current position

HTM — Bear Extreme — W

Occurrences: 5 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 5 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

HTM — Bear Critical — W

Occurrences: 7 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 7 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

HTM — Bear Bias — W

Occurrences: 33 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 24 times — 72.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 9 times — 27.3%

HTM — Neutral — W

Occurrences: 50 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 25 times — 50%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 25 times — 50%

HTM — Bull Bias — W

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 34 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 4 times — 11.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 30 times — 88.2%

Current market energy at 46.03%
Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 13.97 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 25.15 points

HTM — Bull Critical — W

Occurrences: 13 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 2 times — 15.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 11 times — 84.6%

HTM — Bull Extreme — W

Occurrences: 9 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 9 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of HTM?

Historically, when HTM was in the Bull Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 11.8% of the time and down to a lower zone 88.2% of the time (across 34 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%. The market is at 46.03%, 13.97 points from the upper bound and 25.15 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 425 candles from 2018-05-07 to 2026-09-30, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing HTM's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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