Research

HMC W: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
750 HMC W candles
Period
2012-03-26 – 2026-10-12 (14.5 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
D1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

HMC — Bear Extreme — W

Occurrences: 7 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 7 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

HMC — Bear Critical — W

Occurrences: 16 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 12 times — 75%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 4 times — 25%

HMC — Bear Bias — W

Occurrences: 29 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 19 times — 65.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 10 times — 34.5%

HMC — Neutral — W

Occurrences: 43 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 29 times — 67.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 14 times — 32.6%

HMC — Bull Bias — W

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 64 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 33 times — 51.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 31 times — 48.4%

Current market energy at 45.58%
Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 14.42 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 24.7 points

HMC — Bull Critical — W

Occurrences: 45 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 9 times — 20%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 36 times — 80%

HMC — Bull Extreme — W

Occurrences: 27 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 27 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of HMC?

Historically, when HMC was in the Bull Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 51.6% of the time and down to a lower zone 48.4% of the time (across 64 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%. The market is at 45.58%, 14.42 points from the upper bound and 24.7 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 750 candles from 2012-03-26 to 2026-10-12, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing HMC's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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