Research

HMC D: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
3,621 HMC D candles
Period
2012-03-21 – 2026-10-22 (14.6 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
W1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

HMC — Bear Extreme — D

Occurrences: 82 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 82 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

HMC — Bear Critical — D

Occurrences: 101 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 71 times — 70.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 30 times — 29.7%

HMC — Bear Bias — D

Occurrences: 216 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 145 times — 67.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 71 times — 32.9%

HMC — Neutral — D

Occurrences: 275 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 160 times — 58.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 115 times — 41.8%

HMC — Bull Bias — D

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 288 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 133 times — 46.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 155 times — 53.8%

Current market energy at 30.66%
Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 29.34 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 9.78 points

HMC — Bull Critical — D

Occurrences: 192 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 68 times — 35.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 124 times — 64.6%

HMC — Bull Extreme — D

Occurrences: 149 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 149 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of HMC?

Historically, when HMC was in the Bull Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 46.2% of the time and down to a lower zone 53.8% of the time (across 288 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%. The market is at 30.66%, 29.34 points from the upper bound and 9.78 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 3,621 candles from 2012-03-21 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing HMC's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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