Research

HMC 1H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
2,737 HMC 1H candles
Period
2023-07-31 – 2026-10-22 (3.2 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
WD
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

HMC — Bear Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 129 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 129 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

HMC — Bear Critical — 1H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 100 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 62 times — 62%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 38 times — 38%

Current market energy at -60.93%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 0.93 points
Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 13.57 points

HMC — Bear Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 145 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 90 times — 62.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 55 times — 37.9%

HMC — Neutral — 1H

Occurrences: 170 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 89 times — 52.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 81 times — 47.6%

HMC — Bull Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 175 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 85 times — 48.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 90 times — 51.4%

HMC — Bull Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 149 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 62 times — 41.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 87 times — 58.4%

HMC — Bull Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 156 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 156 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of HMC?

Historically, when HMC was in the Bear Critical zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 62% of the time and down to a lower zone 38% of the time (across 100 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%. The market is at -60.93%, 0.93 points from the upper bound and 13.57 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 2,737 candles from 2023-07-31 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing HMC's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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