Research

HLD W — Energy Zone Transition Trends

Updated to candle

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Sample: 694 candles W from 2013-04-01 to 2026-08-24

HLDBear Extreme W

Occurrences: 12 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 12 times 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times 0%

HLDBear Critical W

Occurrences: 19 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 15 times 78.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 4 times 21.1%

HLDBear Bias W

Occurrences: 38 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 26 times 68.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 12 times 31.6%

HLDNeutral W

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 58 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 36 times 62.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 22 times 37.9%

Current market energy at 8.1%
Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 12.78 points
Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 28.98 points

HLDBull Bias W

Occurrences: 59 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 18 times 30.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 41 times 69.5%

HLDBull Critical W

Occurrences: 31 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 7 times 22.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 24 times 77.4%

HLDBull Extreme W

Occurrences: 25 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 25 times 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of HLD?

Historically, when HLD was in the Neutral zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 62.1% of the time and down to a lower zone 37.9% of the time (across 58 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%. The market is at 8.1%, 12.78 points from the upper bound and 28.98 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 694 candles from 2013-04-01 to 2026-08-24, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing HLD's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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