Research

HLD W: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
700 HLD W candles
Period
2013-04-01 – 2026-10-12 (13.5 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
D1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

HLD — Bear Extreme — W

Occurrences: 12 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 12 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

HLD — Bear Critical — W

Occurrences: 19 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 15 times — 78.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 4 times — 21.1%

HLD — Bear Bias — W

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 38 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 26 times — 68.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 12 times — 31.6%

Current market energy at -23.53%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 2.65 points
Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 36.47 points

HLD — Neutral — W

Occurrences: 59 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 36 times — 61%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 23 times — 39%

HLD — Bull Bias — W

Occurrences: 59 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 18 times — 30.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 41 times — 69.5%

HLD — Bull Critical — W

Occurrences: 31 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 7 times — 22.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 24 times — 77.4%

HLD — Bull Extreme — W

Occurrences: 25 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 25 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of HLD?

Historically, when HLD was in the Bear Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 68.4% of the time and down to a lower zone 31.6% of the time (across 38 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%. The market is at -23.53%, 2.65 points from the upper bound and 36.47 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 700 candles from 2013-04-01 to 2026-10-12, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing HLD's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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