Research

HLD D — Energy Zone Transition Trends

Updated to candle

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Sample: 3,354 candles D from 2013-03-27 to 2026-08-28

HLDBear Extreme D

Occurrences: 71 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 71 times 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times 0%

HLDBear Critical D

Occurrences: 94 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 71 times 75.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 23 times 24.5%

HLDBear Bias D

Occurrences: 194 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 134 times 69.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 60 times 30.9%

HLDNeutral D

Occurrences: 239 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 128 times 53.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 111 times 46.4%

HLDBull Bias D

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 259 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 118 times 45.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 141 times 54.4%

Current market energy at 49.2%
Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 10.8 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 28.32 points

HLDBull Critical D

Occurrences: 183 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 48 times 26.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 135 times 73.8%

HLDBull Extreme D

Occurrences: 139 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 139 times 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of HLD?

Historically, when HLD was in the Bull Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 45.6% of the time and down to a lower zone 54.4% of the time (across 259 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%. The market is at 49.2%, 10.8 points from the upper bound and 28.32 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 3,354 candles from 2013-03-27 to 2026-08-28, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing HLD's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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