Research

HLD 1H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
3,442 HLD 1H candles
Period
2023-07-31 – 2026-10-22 (3.2 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
WD
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

HLD — Bear Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 165 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 165 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

HLD — Bear Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 147 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 96 times — 65.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 51 times — 34.7%

HLD — Bear Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 244 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 149 times — 61.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 95 times — 38.9%

HLD — Neutral — 1H

Occurrences: 229 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 114 times — 49.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 115 times — 50.2%

HLD — Bull Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 235 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 105 times — 44.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 130 times — 55.3%

HLD — Bull Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 167 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 70 times — 41.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 97 times — 58.1%

HLD — Bull Extreme — 1H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 195 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 195 times — 100%

Current market energy at 80.33%
Distance to peak 100%: 19.67 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 5.83 points
FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of HLD?

Historically, when HLD was in the Bull Extreme zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 0% of the time and down to a lower zone 100% of the time (across 195 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%. The market is at 80.33%, 19.67 points from the upper bound and 5.83 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 3,442 candles from 2023-07-31 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing HLD's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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