Research

HDM W — Energy Zone Transition Trends

Updated to candle

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Sample: 738 candles W from 2012-03-26 to 2026-08-18

HDMBear Extreme W

Occurrences: 25 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 25 times 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times 0%

HDMBear Critical W

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 16 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 12 times 75%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 4 times 25%

Current market energy at -65.8%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 5.8 points
Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 8.7 points

HDMBear Bias W

Occurrences: 32 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 22 times 68.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 10 times 31.3%

HDMNeutral W

Occurrences: 45 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 29 times 64.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 16 times 35.6%

HDMBull Bias W

Occurrences: 64 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 34 times 53.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 30 times 46.9%

HDMBull Critical W

Occurrences: 49 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 21 times 42.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 28 times 57.1%

HDMBull Extreme W

Occurrences: 58 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 58 times 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of HDM?

Historically, when HDM was in the Bear Critical zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 75% of the time and down to a lower zone 25% of the time (across 16 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%. The market is at -65.8%, 5.8 points from the upper bound and 8.7 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 738 candles from 2012-03-26 to 2026-08-18, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing HDM's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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