Research

HDM D: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
3,440 HDM D candles
Period
2012-03-21 – 2026-10-23 (14.6 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
W1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

HDM — Bear Extreme — D

Occurrences: 151 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 151 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

HDM — Bear Critical — D

Occurrences: 90 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 53 times — 58.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 37 times — 41.1%

HDM — Bear Bias — D

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 141 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 66 times — 46.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 75 times — 53.2%

Current market energy at -53.62%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 32.74 points
Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 6.38 points

HDM — Neutral — D

Occurrences: 127 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 66 times — 52%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 61 times — 48%

HDM — Bull Bias — D

Occurrences: 147 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 85 times — 57.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 62 times — 42.2%

HDM — Bull Critical — D

Occurrences: 121 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 47 times — 38.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 74 times — 61.2%

HDM — Bull Extreme — D

Occurrences: 182 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 182 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of HDM?

Historically, when HDM was in the Bear Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 46.8% of the time and down to a lower zone 53.2% of the time (across 141 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%. The market is at -53.62%, 32.74 points from the upper bound and 6.38 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 3,440 candles from 2012-03-21 to 2026-10-23, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing HDM's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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