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Research

HDM 1H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
2,408 HDM 1H candles
Period
2023-07-31 – 2026-10-23 (3.2 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
WD
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Bull Extreme149 times
↑0%
↓100%
Bull Critical98 times
↑38.8%
↓61.2%
Bull Bias116 times
↑62.9%
↓37.1%
Neutral79 times
↑50.6%
↓49.4%
Bear Bias112 times
↑47.3%
↓52.7%
Bear Critical89 times
↑51.7%
↓48.3%
Bear Extreme★★156 times
↑100%
↓0%
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Market Energy→Market State→Threshold→Bear Extreme→Sellers→

HDM — Bear Extreme — 1H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 156 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 156 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

Current market energy at -79.72%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 5.22 points
Distance to bottom -100%: 20.28 points

HDM — Bear Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 89 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 46 times — 51.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 43 times — 48.3%

HDM — Bear Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 112 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 53 times — 47.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 59 times — 52.7%

HDM — Neutral — 1H

Occurrences: 79 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 40 times — 50.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 39 times — 49.4%

HDM — Bull Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 116 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 73 times — 62.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 43 times — 37.1%

HDM — Bull Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 98 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 38 times — 38.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 60 times — 61.2%

HDM — Bull Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 149 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 149 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of HDM?

Historically, when HDM was in the Bear Extreme zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 100% of the time and down to a lower zone 0% of the time (across 156 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%. The market is at -79.72%, 5.22 points from the upper bound and 20.28 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 2,408 candles from 2023-07-31 to 2026-10-23, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing HDM's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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