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Research

EURUSD W: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
615 EURUSD W candles
Period
2015-01-05 – 2026-10-12 (11.8 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
D4H1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Bull Extreme6 times
↑0%
↓100%
Bull Critical15 times
↑26.7%
↓73.3%
Bull Bias41 times
↑29.3%
↓70.7%
Neutral67 times
↑41.8%
↓58.2%
Bear Bias53 times
↑71.7%
↓28.3%
Bear Critical19 times
↑78.9%
↓21.1%
Bear Extreme★★9 times
↑100%
↓0%
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Market Energy→Market State→Threshold→Bear Extreme→Sellers→

EURUSD — Bear Extreme — W

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 9 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 9 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

Current market energy at -82.76%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 8.26 points
Distance to bottom -100%: 17.24 points

EURUSD — Bear Critical — W

Occurrences: 19 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 15 times — 78.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 4 times — 21.1%

EURUSD — Bear Bias — W

Occurrences: 53 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 38 times — 71.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 15 times — 28.3%

EURUSD — Neutral — W

Occurrences: 67 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 28 times — 41.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 39 times — 58.2%

EURUSD — Bull Bias — W

Occurrences: 41 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 12 times — 29.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 29 times — 70.7%

EURUSD — Bull Critical — W

Occurrences: 15 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 4 times — 26.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 11 times — 73.3%

EURUSD — Bull Extreme — W

Occurrences: 6 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 6 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of EURUSD?

Historically, when EURUSD was in the Bear Extreme zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 100% of the time and down to a lower zone 0% of the time (across 9 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%. The market is at -82.76%, 8.26 points from the upper bound and 17.24 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 615 candles from 2015-01-05 to 2026-10-12, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing EURUSD's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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