EURUSD 4H: Energy Zone Transition Trends
Candle close
- Study type
- Historical statistics
- Question answered
- Direction of market moves
- Principle
- Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
- Candles studied
- 21,478 EURUSD 4H candles
- Period
- 2013-01-02 – 2026-10-22 (13.8 years)
- Result
- 7-zone table below ↓
Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.
EURUSD — Bear Extreme — 4H
Occurrences: 329 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 329 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%
EURUSD — Bear Critical — 4H
Occurrences: 758 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 542 times — 71.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 216 times — 28.5%
EURUSD — Bear Bias — 4H
◉ CURRENT CANDLEOccurrences: 1,693 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 1,158 times — 68.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 535 times — 31.6%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 11.45 points
Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 27.67 points
EURUSD — Neutral — 4H
Occurrences: 2,144 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 1,067 times — 49.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 1,077 times — 50.2%
EURUSD — Bull Bias — 4H
Occurrences: 1,627 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 490 times — 30.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 1,137 times — 69.9%
EURUSD — Bull Critical — 4H
Occurrences: 646 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 181 times — 28%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 465 times — 72%
EURUSD — Bull Extreme — 4H
Occurrences: 288 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 288 times — 100%
What is the trend of EURUSD?
Historically, when EURUSD was in the Bear Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 68.4% of the time and down to a lower zone 31.6% of the time (across 1,693 observations).
Where is the market within its current zone?
The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%. The market is at -32.33%, 11.45 points from the upper bound and 27.67 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.
How are these statistics calculated?
Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.
Where does the data come from and how many candles?
The sample contains 21,478 candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.
Are these numbers a prediction?
No. These are historical frequencies describing EURUSD's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.
What are the 7 market energy states?
Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.
See all 7 Market States →To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .