Research

EURUSD 1H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
73,516 EURUSD 1H candles
Period
2015-01-01 – 2026-10-22 (11.8 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
WD4H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

EURUSD — Bear Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 997 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 997 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

EURUSD — Bear Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 2,317 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 1,720 times — 74.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 597 times — 25.8%

EURUSD — Bear Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 5,602 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 3,904 times — 69.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 1,698 times — 30.3%

EURUSD — Neutral — 1H

Occurrences: 7,063 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 3,372 times — 47.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 3,691 times — 52.3%

EURUSD — Bull Bias — 1H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 5,158 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 1,551 times — 30.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 3,607 times — 69.9%

Current market energy at 48.47%
Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 11.53 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 27.59 points

EURUSD — Bull Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 2,113 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 601 times — 28.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 1,512 times — 71.6%

EURUSD — Bull Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 991 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 991 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of EURUSD?

Historically, when EURUSD was in the Bull Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 30.1% of the time and down to a lower zone 69.9% of the time (across 5,158 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%. The market is at 48.47%, 11.53 points from the upper bound and 27.59 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 73,516 candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing EURUSD's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .