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| Price | ▼ 1.24% | ▼ 1.21% | ▼ 0.50% | ▲ 0.45% |
| Energy | ▼ 38.8 | ▼ 48.9 | ▼ 11.5 | ▲ 11.9 |
Trend of Bear Critical XPDUSD 4H
▸When XPDUSD is in Bear Critical:
- then XPDUSD moved to higher Market State: 5 times — 62.5%
- then XPDUSD moved to lower Market State: 3 times — 37.5%
▸Current XPDUSD market energy: -64.31%
- Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 4.31%
- Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 10.19%
"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING
As the 4H candle closes, XPDUSD in the Bear Critical zone.
Per the 2AiTrading energy measurement system, Market Energy rose +11.9% from the previous candle, from -76.2% to -64.3%.
Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle
Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.
Over the past 5 days, XPDUSD Market Energy ranged from -76.2 to +38.6.
Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.
What did XPDUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?
When the 4H candle at 00:00 on 24-09-2026 closed, XPDUSD was at 1,268.85, up 0.45% from the previous candle (1,263.2). Market Energy was -64.3%, up 11.9 points from -76.2%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.
How much did XPDUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?
XPDUSD closed at 1,268.85, up 0.45% from the previous 4H candle (1,263.2). This rise is larger than 35% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for XPDUSD, across 223 candles since 2019.
How did XPDUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?
Market Energy rose 11.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from -76.2% to -64.3%. This rise is larger than 44% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for XPDUSD.
Do XPDUSD price and energy agree?
Yes. This candle recorded price moving up in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.
What state was XPDUSD in on the previous 4H candle?
The previous 4H candle had XPDUSD at -76.2%, Bear Extreme — when this candle closed, XPDUSD moved up to a higher zone: Bear Extreme → Bear Critical.
Where does XPDUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?
At -64.3%, XPDUSD is 4.31 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 10.19 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.
What does Bear Critical mean?
Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.
See the full Bear Critical definition →How are the broader market indices trending?
Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -72%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -71%. Against this backdrop, XPDUSD (Bear Critical, -64.3%) sits in the same state zone as SPX500, GER40.
How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?
Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 54.9%. XPDUSD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.
See the real-time energy chart for XPDUSD.
Open Energy ChartSee the full 2AiTrading Model data for XPDUSD on the XPDUSD overview →
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