Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
AUDUSD from 0.70302 to 0.70253, down 0.07%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -76.1% to Bear Critical -61.2%, up 14.9 pts
Down candle #3 in a row—Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.02%▼ 0.07%▼ 0.00%▼ 0.07%
Energy▲ 9.4▲ 4.8▲ 2.0▲ 14.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.02%▼ 0.07%▼ 0.00%▼ 0.07%▲ 9.4▲ 4.8▲ 2.0▲ 14.9
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.07% — higher than 28% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy up 14.9 pts — higher than 65% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical AUDUSD 4H

Sample: 18,233 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-09-23
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 620 times

▸When AUDUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then AUDUSD moved to higher Market State: 439 times — 70.8%
  • then AUDUSD moved to lower Market State: 181 times — 29.2%

▸Current AUDUSD market energy: -61.23%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 1.23%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 13.27%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

AUDUSD · H4 · 2026-09-24 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-76.1%
Bear Extreme
-61.2%
Bear Critical
Expected at
04:10
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Right as the 4H candle closes, AUDUSD classified as the Bear Critical level.

End-of-session update for 4H, The energy level rose +14.9%: from -76.1% now at -61.2%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AUDUSD Market Energy ranged from -99.7 to +50.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did AUDUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 20:00 on 24-09-2026 closed, AUDUSD was at 0.70253, down 0.07% from the previous candle (0.70302). Market Energy was -61.2%, up 14.9 points from -76.1%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did AUDUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

AUDUSD closed at 0.70253, down 0.07% from the previous 4H candle (0.70302). This drop is larger than 28% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AUDUSD, across 12,032 candles since 2019.

How did AUDUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 14.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from -76.1% to -61.2%. This rise is larger than 65% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for AUDUSD.

Do AUDUSD price and energy agree?

No. This candle recorded a price decline with energy moving the other way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was AUDUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had AUDUSD at -76.1%, Bear Extreme — when this candle closed, AUDUSD moved up to a higher zone: Bear Extreme → Bear Critical.

Where does AUDUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -61.2%, AUDUSD is 1.23 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 13.27 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 40.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 66.2%. Against this backdrop, AUDUSD (Bear Critical, -61.2%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 42.7%. AUDUSD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AUDUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AUDUSD on the AUDUSD overview →

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