Analysis

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Price and energy
XPDUSD from 1,419.25 to 1,403.4, down 1.12%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 87.6% to Bull Critical 67.2%, down 20.4 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.51%0.63%0.59%1.12%
Energy2.07.04.220.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.51% 0.63% 0.59% 1.12% 2.0 7.0 4.2 20.4
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.12% — higher than 77% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 20.4 pts — higher than 70% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical XPDUSD 4H

Sample: 179 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-09-10
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 6 times

When XPDUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then XPDUSD moved to higher Market State: 3 times50%
  • then XPDUSD moved to lower Market State: 3 times50%

Current XPDUSD market energy: 67.24%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 7.26%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 7.24%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

XPDUSD · H4 · 2026-09-04 09:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
87.6%
Bull Extreme
67.2%
Bull Critical
29.4%
Bull Bias
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

After the system processes the 4H candle, XPDUSD currently in the Bull Critical energy zone.

Looking at the energy level, Market Energy dropped -20.4% from the previous session, from 87.6% to 67.2%.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XPDUSD Market Energy ranged from -96.8 to +98.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XPDUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 16:00 on 04-09-2026 closed, XPDUSD was at 1,403.4, down 1.12% from the previous candle (1,419.25). Market Energy was 67.2%, down 20.4 points from 87.6%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did XPDUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

XPDUSD closed at 1,403.4, down 1.12% from the previous 4H candle (1,419.25). This drop is larger than 77% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for XPDUSD, across 157 candles since 2019.

How did XPDUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 20.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from 87.6% to 67.2%. This drop is larger than 70% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for XPDUSD.

Do XPDUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was XPDUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had XPDUSD at 87.6%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, XPDUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bull Critical.

Where does XPDUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 67.2%, XPDUSD is 7.26 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 7.24 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 17.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -17.9%. Against this backdrop, XPDUSD (Bull Critical, 67.2%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 40.1%. XPDUSD (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XPDUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XPDUSD on the XPDUSD overview →

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