Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
XPDUSD from 1,384.4 to 1,427.2, up 3.09%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 91.5% to Bull Extreme 96.9%, up 5.4 pts
Up candle #4 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.41%▲ 0.91%▲ 1.07%▲ 3.09%
Energy▼ 6.2▲ 5.1▲ 8.5▲ 5.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.41%▲ 0.91%▲ 1.07%▲ 3.09%▼ 6.2▲ 5.1▲ 8.5▲ 5.4
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 3.09% — higher than 97% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 5.4 pts — higher than 26% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Extreme XPDUSD 4H

Sample: 270 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-10-07
Number of Bull Extreme occurrences: 6 times

▸When XPDUSD is in Bull Extreme:

  • then XPDUSD moved to higher Market State: 0 times — 0%
  • then XPDUSD moved to lower Market State: 6 times — 100%

▸Current XPDUSD market energy: 96.86%

  • Distance to peak 100%: 3.14%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 22.36%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

XPDUSD · H4 · 2026-09-03 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
91.5%
Bull Extreme
96.9%
Bull Extreme
98.8%
Bull Extreme
Zone
74.5 – 100
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Right as the 4H candle closes, Market XPDUSD in the extreme Bull energy level.

On trend energy, Market Energy rose +5.4% from the previous session, from 91.5% to 96.9%.

Time in Bull Extreme energy zone: 5 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XPDUSD Market Energy ranged from -96.8 to +96.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XPDUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 20:00 on 03-09-2026 closed, XPDUSD was at 1,427.2, up 3.09% from the previous candle (1,384.4). Market Energy was 96.9%, up 5.4 points from 91.5%, in the Bull Extreme state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%.

How much did XPDUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

XPDUSD closed at 1,427.2, up 3.09% from the previous 4H candle (1,384.4). This rise is larger than 97% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for XPDUSD, across 153 candles since 2019.

How did XPDUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 5.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from 91.5% to 96.9%. This rise is larger than 26% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for XPDUSD.

Do XPDUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving up in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was XPDUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had XPDUSD at 91.5%, Bull Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does XPDUSD energy sit within the Bull Extreme zone?

At 96.9%, XPDUSD is 3.14 points from the upper boundary of Bull Extreme (100%) and 22.36 points from the lower boundary (74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Extreme mean?

Bull Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 92.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 97.8%. Against this backdrop, XPDUSD (Bull Extreme, 96.9%) sits in the same state zone as SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -87%. XPDUSD (Bull Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XPDUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XPDUSD on the XPDUSD overview →

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