Analysis

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Price and energy
XPDUSD from 1,322.8 to 1,347, up 1.83%
Market Energy Bear Bias -29.2% to Bull Critical 66.3%, up 95.5 pts
Up candle #3 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price1.05%0.59%1.43%1.83%
Energy3.710.953.095.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
1.05% 0.59% 1.43% 1.83% 3.7 10.9 53.0 95.5
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 1.83% — higher than 91% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 95.5 pts — higher than 99% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical XPDUSD 4H

Sample: 197 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-09-16
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 8 times

When XPDUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then XPDUSD moved to higher Market State: 3 times37.5%
  • then XPDUSD moved to lower Market State: 5 times62.5%

Current XPDUSD market energy: 66.29%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 8.21%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 6.29%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

XPDUSD · H4 · 2026-09-02 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-29.2%
Bear Bias
66.3%
Bull Critical
84.2%
Bull Extreme
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

From the just-closed 4H candle data, XPDUSD in Bull in Critical state.

Market trend energy Market Energy moved from -29.2% to 66.3%, up +95.5% from the previous candle.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XPDUSD Market Energy ranged from -96.8 to +87.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XPDUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 20:00 on 02-09-2026 closed, XPDUSD was at 1,347, up 1.83% from the previous candle (1,322.8). Market Energy was 66.3%, up 95.5 points from -29.2%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did XPDUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

XPDUSD closed at 1,347, up 1.83% from the previous 4H candle (1,322.8). This rise is larger than 91% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for XPDUSD, across 148 candles since 2019.

How did XPDUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 95.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from -29.2% to 66.3%. This rise is larger than 99% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for XPDUSD.

Do XPDUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved up on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was XPDUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had XPDUSD at -29.2%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, XPDUSD moved up to a higher zone: Bear Bias → Bull Critical.

Where does XPDUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 66.3%, XPDUSD is 8.21 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 6.29 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 44.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 4.5%. Against this backdrop, XPDUSD (Bull Critical, 66.3%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -86.9%. XPDUSD (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XPDUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XPDUSD on the XPDUSD overview →

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