Analysis

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Price and energy
XPDUSD from 1,357.35 to 1,369.7, up 0.91%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 78.0% to Bull Extreme 83.0%, up 5.1 pts
Up candle #4 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price1.83%0.35%0.41%0.91%
Energy95.517.96.25.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
1.83% 0.35% 0.41% 0.91% 95.5 17.9 6.2 5.1
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.91% — higher than 61% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 5.1 pts — higher than 22% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Extreme XPDUSD 4H

Sample: 181 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-09-11
Number of Bull Extreme occurrences: 6 times

When XPDUSD is in Bull Extreme:

  • then XPDUSD moved to higher Market State: 0 times0%
  • then XPDUSD moved to lower Market State: 6 times100%

Current XPDUSD market energy: 83.03%

  • Distance to peak 100%: 16.97%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 8.53%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

XPDUSD · H4 · 2026-09-03 05:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
78.0%
Bull Extreme
83.0%
Bull Extreme
91.5%
Bull Extreme
Zone
74.5 – 100
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

With the 4H candle just closed, XPDUSD reflects Bull energy in an extreme reading.

The market energy reading The energy level rose +5.1%: from 78% now at 83%.

Time in Bull Extreme energy zone: 3 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XPDUSD Market Energy ranged from -96.8 to +84.2.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XPDUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 12:00 on 03-09-2026 closed, XPDUSD was at 1,369.7, up 0.91% from the previous candle (1,357.35). Market Energy was 83%, up 5.1 points from 78%, in the Bull Extreme state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%.

How much did XPDUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

XPDUSD closed at 1,369.7, up 0.91% from the previous 4H candle (1,357.35). This rise is larger than 61% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for XPDUSD, across 151 candles since 2019.

How did XPDUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 5.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from 78% to 83%. This rise is larger than 22% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for XPDUSD.

Do XPDUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price rose and energy rose — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was XPDUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had XPDUSD at 78%, Bull Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does XPDUSD energy sit within the Bull Extreme zone?

At 83%, XPDUSD is 16.97 points from the upper boundary of Bull Extreme (100%) and 8.53 points from the lower boundary (74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Extreme mean?

Bull Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 17.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 49.5%. Against this backdrop, XPDUSD (Bull Extreme, 83%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -70.5%. XPDUSD (Bull Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XPDUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XPDUSD on the XPDUSD overview →

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