Analysis

XPDUSD 1,133.8 ↓0.35%: Bulls & Bears in a tug-of-war · 1H 14:00 Oct 16, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 1,137.75 · High 1,140.1 · Low 1,131.35 · Close 1,133.8 · Range (high − low) 8.75
XPDUSD closed at 1,133.8, down 3.95 (-0.35%) from 1,137.75.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bull Critical zone at 71.1% to Neutral at 17.1%, down 53.9 points.
Third straight down candle, price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price1,146.61,142.51,137.81,133.8
Energy96.4%87.3%71.1%17.1%
Price change↑ 0.01%↓ 0.36%↓ 0.42%↓ 0.35%
Energy change↑ 6.7↓ 9.0↓ 16.3↓ 53.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 0.01%↓ 0.36%↓ 0.42%↓ 0.35%↑ 6.7↓ 9.0↓ 16.3↓ 53.9
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.35% — higher than 64% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 53.9 pts — higher than 92% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral XPDUSD 1H

Sample: 55,483 1H candles from 2017-05-01 to 2026-10-22
Number of Neutral occurrences: 4,804 times

▸When XPDUSD is in Neutral:

  • then XPDUSD moved to higher Market State: 2,448 times — 51%
  • then XPDUSD moved to lower Market State: 2,356 times — 49%

▸Current XPDUSD market energy: 17.14%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 3.74%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 38.02%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

XPDUSD · H1 · 2026-10-16 06:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live XPDUSD chart →
Market Energy
71.1%
Bull Critical
17.1%
Neutral
32.3%
Bull Bias
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

As the 1H candle closes, XPDUSD reflects Neutral.

On the measurement side, Market Energy dropped -53.9% from the previous candle, from 71.1% to 17.1%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XPDUSD Market Energy ranged from -99.6 to 99.4.

Frequently asked questions

What did XPDUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle closed at 14:00 on 16-10-2026, XPDUSD was at 1,133.8, down 0.35% from the previous candle (1,137.75). Market Energy was 17.1%, down 53.9 points from 71.1%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did XPDUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

XPDUSD closed at 1,133.8, down 0.35% from the previous 1H candle (1,137.75). This drop is larger than 64% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for XPDUSD, across 45,695 candles since 2019.

How did XPDUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 53.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from 71.1% to 17.1%. This drop is larger than 92% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for XPDUSD.

Do XPDUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was XPDUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had XPDUSD at 71.1%, Bull Critical — when this candle closed, XPDUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Critical → Neutral.

Where does XPDUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 17.1%, XPDUSD is 3.74 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 38.02 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 54.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -59.8%. Against this backdrop, XPDUSD (Neutral, 17.1%) has higher energy than GER40; lower than SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -69.6%. XPDUSD energy is currently above DXY by 86.7 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XPDUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XPDUSD on the XPDUSD overview →

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