Analysis

XPDUSD 1,137.75 ↓0.42%: Bulls very strong · 1H 13:00 Oct 16, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 1,142.9 · High 1,142.9 · Low 1,137.75 · Close 1,137.75 · Range (high − low) 5.15
XPDUSD closed at 1,137.75, down 4.75 (-0.42%) from 1,142.5.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bull Extreme zone at 87.3% to Bull Critical at 71.1%, down 16.3 points.
Second straight down candle, price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price1,146.51,146.61,142.51,137.8
Energy89.7%96.4%87.3%71.1%
Price change↑ 1.62%↑ 0.01%↓ 0.36%↓ 0.42%
Energy change↑ 135.2↑ 6.7↓ 9.0↓ 16.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 1.62%↑ 0.01%↓ 0.36%↓ 0.42%↑ 135.2↑ 6.7↓ 9.0↓ 16.3
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.42% — higher than 70% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 16.3 pts — higher than 66% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical XPDUSD 1H

Sample: 55,477 1H candles from 2017-05-01 to 2026-10-22
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 2,735 times

▸When XPDUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then XPDUSD moved to higher Market State: 851 times — 31.1%
  • then XPDUSD moved to lower Market State: 1,884 times — 68.9%

▸Current XPDUSD market energy: 71.07%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 3.43%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 11.07%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

XPDUSD · H1 · 2026-10-16 05:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live XPDUSD chart →
Market Energy
87.3%
Bull Extreme
71.1%
Bull Critical
17.1%
Neutral
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Reading from the 1H candle, Market Energy of XPDUSD indicates the Bull Critical measurement.

Per the 2AiTrading energy measurement system, Market Energy moved from 87.3% to 71.1%, down -16.3% from the previous candle.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XPDUSD Market Energy ranged from -99.6 to 99.4.

Frequently asked questions

What did XPDUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle closed at 13:00 on 16-10-2026, XPDUSD was at 1,137.75, down 0.42% from the previous candle (1,142.5). Market Energy was 71.1%, down 16.3 points from 87.3%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did XPDUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

XPDUSD closed at 1,137.75, down 0.42% from the previous 1H candle (1,142.5). This drop is larger than 70% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for XPDUSD, across 45,694 candles since 2019.

How did XPDUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 16.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from 87.3% to 71.1%. This drop is larger than 66% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for XPDUSD.

Do XPDUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was XPDUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had XPDUSD at 87.3%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, XPDUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bull Critical.

Where does XPDUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 71.1%, XPDUSD is 3.43 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 11.07 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 79%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 30.1%. Against this backdrop, XPDUSD (Bull Critical, 71.1%) has higher energy than GER40; lower than SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -71%. XPDUSD (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XPDUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XPDUSD on the XPDUSD overview →

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