Analysis

XPDUSD 1,077.55 ↓2.26%: Bears in the peak-force zone · D Oct 21, 2026

·
Candle open
Price and energy
Open 1,102.1 · High 1,104.95 · Low 1,077.4 · Close 1,077.55 · Range (high − low) 27.55
XPDUSD closed at 1,077.55, down 24.95 (-2.26%) from 1,102.5.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bear Critical zone at -73.0% to Bear Extreme at -95.7%, down 22.6 points.
Third straight down candle, price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price1,129.31,114.21,102.51,077.6
Energy-58.8%-60.8%-73.0%-95.7%
Price change↑ 1.14%↓ 1.33%↓ 1.05%↓ 2.26%
Energy change↑ 3.1↓ 2.0↓ 12.2↓ 22.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 1.14%↓ 1.33%↓ 1.05%↓ 2.26%↑ 3.1↓ 2.0↓ 12.2↓ 22.6
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 2.26% — higher than 74% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 22.6 pts — higher than 73% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme XPDUSD Daily

Sample: 3,285 Daily candles from 2013-02-27 to 2026-10-21
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 111 times

▸When XPDUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then XPDUSD moved to higher Market State: 111 times — 100%
  • then XPDUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current XPDUSD market energy: -95.65%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 21.15%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 4.35%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

XPDUSD · D1 · 2026-10-21 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live XPDUSD chart →
Market Energy
-73.0%
Bear Critical
-95.7%
Bear Extreme
Expected at
07:10
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

As the Daily session concludes, Market Energy of XPDUSD indicates the extreme Bear energy state.

Market movement after the Daily candle closes, Market Energy at -95.7%, down -22.6% from -73% in the previous candle.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XPDUSD Market Energy ranged from -95.7 to -58.8.

Frequently asked questions

What did XPDUSD price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle closed at 07:00 on 21-10-2026, XPDUSD was at 1,077.55, down 2.26% from the previous candle (1,102.5). Market Energy was -95.7%, down 22.6 points from -73%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did XPDUSD price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

XPDUSD closed at 1,077.55, down 2.26% from the previous Daily candle (1,102.5). This drop is larger than 74% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for XPDUSD, across 2,420 candles since 2019.

How did XPDUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 22.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from -73% to -95.7%. This drop is larger than 73% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for XPDUSD.

Do XPDUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was XPDUSD in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had XPDUSD at -73%, Bear Critical — when this candle closed, XPDUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bear Critical → Bear Extreme.

Where does XPDUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -95.7%, XPDUSD is 21.15 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 4.35 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 66.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 56.1%. Against this backdrop, XPDUSD (Bear Extreme, -95.7%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -2.3%. XPDUSD energy is currently below DXY by 93.3 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XPDUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XPDUSD on the XPDUSD overview →

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