Analysis

XPDUSD 1,102.5 ↓1.05%: Bears very strong · D Oct 20, 2026

·
Candle open
Price and energy
Open 1,113.7 · High 1,136.65 · Low 1,096.75 · Close 1,102.5 · Range (high − low) 39.9
XPDUSD closed at 1,102.5, down 11.7 (-1.05%) from 1,114.2.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bear Critical zone at -60.8% to Bear Critical at -73.0%, down 12.2 points.
Second straight down candle, price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price1,116.51,129.31,114.21,102.5
Energy-61.8%-58.8%-60.8%-73.0%
Price change↓ 1.17%↑ 1.14%↓ 1.33%↓ 1.05%
Energy change↑ 6.8↑ 3.1↓ 2.0↓ 12.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 1.17%↑ 1.14%↓ 1.33%↓ 1.05%↑ 6.8↑ 3.1↓ 2.0↓ 12.2
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.05% — higher than 48% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 12.2 pts — higher than 54% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical XPDUSD Daily

Sample: 3,284 Daily candles from 2013-02-27 to 2026-10-20
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 145 times

▸When XPDUSD is in Bear Critical:

  • then XPDUSD moved to higher Market State: 90 times — 62.1%
  • then XPDUSD moved to lower Market State: 55 times — 37.9%

▸Current XPDUSD market energy: -73.01%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 13.01%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 1.49%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

XPDUSD · D1 · 2026-10-20 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live XPDUSD chart →
Market Energy
-60.8%
Bear Critical
-73.0%
Bear Critical
-95.7%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

The system just recorded XPDUSD in Bear Critical of Market Energy after the Daily candle closed.

On trend energy, Market Energy dropped -12.2% this candle, currently -73% (previous candle -60.8%).

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 2 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XPDUSD Market Energy ranged from -73 to -58.8.

Frequently asked questions

What did XPDUSD price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle closed at 07:00 on 20-10-2026, XPDUSD was at 1,102.5, down 1.05% from the previous candle (1,114.2). Market Energy was -73%, down 12.2 points from -60.8%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did XPDUSD price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

XPDUSD closed at 1,102.5, down 1.05% from the previous Daily candle (1,114.2). This drop is larger than 48% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for XPDUSD, across 2,419 candles since 2019.

How did XPDUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 12.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from -60.8% to -73%. This drop is larger than 54% of past drops on the Daily timeframe for XPDUSD.

Do XPDUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was XPDUSD in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had XPDUSD at -60.8%, Bear Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does XPDUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -73%, XPDUSD is 13.01 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 1.49 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -31.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -63.4%. Against this backdrop, XPDUSD (Bear Critical, -73%) lower than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 28.1%. XPDUSD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XPDUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XPDUSD on the XPDUSD overview →

To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .