Analysis

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Candle open
Price and energy
XPDUSD from 1,310.6 to 1,318.7, up 0.62%
Market Energy Bear Bias -34.2% to Bear Bias -22.1%, up 12.1 pts
Up candle #4 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.04%1.01%0.64%0.62%
Energy1.68.13.512.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.04% 1.01% 0.64% 0.62% 1.6 8.1 3.5 12.1
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.62% — higher than 32% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 12.1 pts — higher than 53% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias XPDUSD Daily

Sample: 3,258 Daily candles from 2013-02-27 to 2026-09-20
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 258 times

When XPDUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then XPDUSD moved to higher Market State: 165 times64%
  • then XPDUSD moved to lower Market State: 93 times36%

Current XPDUSD market energy: -22.08%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 1.2%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 37.92%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

XPDUSD · D1 · 2026-09-21 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-34.2%
Bear Bias
-22.1%
Bear Bias
Expected at
07:10
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

As the Daily candle completes, XPDUSD reflects the Bear Bias level.

Per the 2AI model, Market trend energy recorded a +12.1% rise from the previous candle, from -34.2% to -22.1%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 6 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XPDUSD Market Energy ranged from -45.8 to -22.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XPDUSD price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 21-09-2026 closed, XPDUSD was at 1,318.7, up 0.62% from the previous candle (1,310.6). Market Energy was -22.1%, up 12.1 points from -34.2%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did XPDUSD price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

XPDUSD closed at 1,318.7, up 0.62% from the previous Daily candle (1,310.6). This rise is larger than 32% of past rises on the Daily timeframe for XPDUSD, across 2,394 candles since 2019.

How did XPDUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 12.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from -34.2% to -22.1%. This rise is larger than 53% of past rises on the Daily timeframe for XPDUSD.

Do XPDUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price rose and energy rose — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was XPDUSD in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had XPDUSD at -34.2%, Bear Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does XPDUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -22.1%, XPDUSD is 1.2 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 37.92 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 91.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 55.7%. Against this backdrop, XPDUSD (Bear Bias, -22.1%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -37.1%. XPDUSD (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XPDUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XPDUSD on the XPDUSD overview →

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