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| Price | ▲ 0.18% | ▼ 0.01% | ▲ 0.77% | ▼ 1.86% |
| Energy | ▲ 19.6 | ▲ 22.2 | ▲ 24.2 | ▼ 84.6 |
Trend of Bear Bias XAUUSD 4H
▸When XAUUSD is in Bear Bias:
- then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 834 times — 61.1%
- then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 531 times — 38.9%
▸Current XAUUSD market energy: -24.15%
- Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 3.27%
- Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 35.85%
"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING
Right as the 4H candle closes, XAUUSD shows the Bear Bias energy zone.
Market trend update: Market trend energy recorded a -84.6% drop from the previous candle, from 60.5% to -24.1%.
Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle
Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.
Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from -99.6 to +60.5.
Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.
What did XAUUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?
When the 4H candle at 20:00 on 02-10-2026 closed, XAUUSD was at 4,138.4, down 1.86% from the previous candle (4,216.92). Market Energy was -24.1%, down 84.6 points from 60.5%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.
How much did XAUUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?
XAUUSD closed at 4,138.4, down 1.86% from the previous 4H candle (4,216.92). This drop is larger than 99% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for XAUUSD, across 11,939 candles since 2019.
How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?
Market Energy fell 84.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from 60.5% to -24.1%. This drop is larger than 97% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for XAUUSD.
Do XAUUSD price and energy agree?
Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.
What state was XAUUSD in on the previous 4H candle?
The previous 4H candle had XAUUSD at 60.5%, Bull Critical — when this candle closed, XAUUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Critical → Bear Bias.
Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?
At -24.1%, XAUUSD is 3.27 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 35.85 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.
What does Bear Bias mean?
Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.
See the full Bear Bias definition →How are the broader market indices trending?
Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 85%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 78.8%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Bear Bias, -24.1%) lower than SPX500, GER40.
How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?
Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -91.3%. XAUUSD (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.
See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.
Open Energy ChartSee the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →
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