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| Price | ▲ 0.27% | ▲ 0.18% | ▼ 0.01% | ▲ 0.77% |
| Energy | ▲ 9.2 | ▲ 19.6 | ▲ 22.2 | ▲ 24.2 |
Trend of Bull Critical XAUUSD 4H
▸When XAUUSD is in Bull Critical:
- then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 318 times — 33.3%
- then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 638 times — 66.7%
▸Current XAUUSD market energy: 60.48%
- Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 14.02%
- Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 0.48%
"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING
As the 4H candle completes, XAUUSD classified as Bull trend energy near extreme.
At the 4H session close, Market Energy at 60.5%, up +24.2% from 36.3% in the previous candle.
Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle
Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.
Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from -99.6 to +60.5.
Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.
What did XAUUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?
When the 4H candle at 16:00 on 02-10-2026 closed, XAUUSD was at 4,216.92, up 0.77% from the previous candle (4,184.63). Market Energy was 60.5%, up 24.2 points from 36.3%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.
How much did XAUUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?
XAUUSD closed at 4,216.92, up 0.77% from the previous 4H candle (4,184.63). This rise is larger than 94% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for XAUUSD, across 11,938 candles since 2019.
How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?
Market Energy rose 24.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from 36.3% to 60.5%. This rise is larger than 77% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for XAUUSD.
Do XAUUSD price and energy agree?
Yes. This candle recorded price moving up in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.
What state was XAUUSD in on the previous 4H candle?
The previous 4H candle had XAUUSD at 36.3%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, XAUUSD moved up to a higher zone: Bull Bias → Bull Critical.
Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?
At 60.5%, XAUUSD is 14.02 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 0.48 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.
What does Bull Critical mean?
Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.
See the full Bull Critical definition →How are the broader market indices trending?
Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 80.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 97.6%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Bull Critical, 60.5%) lower than SPX500, GER40.
How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?
Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -11.6%. XAUUSD energy is currently above DXY by 72.1 points.
See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.
Open Energy ChartSee the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →
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