Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
AUDUSD from 0.69423 to 0.69688, up 0.38%
Market Energy Neutral -12.3% to Bull Critical 64.2%, up 76.5 pts
Up candle #3 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.19%▲ 0.25%▲ 0.11%▲ 0.38%
Energy▲ 0.9▲ 13.6▲ 40.2▲ 76.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.19%▲ 0.25%▲ 0.11%▲ 0.38%▲ 0.9▲ 13.6▲ 40.2▲ 76.5
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.38% — higher than 89% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 76.5 pts — largest on record (since 2019)
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical AUDUSD 4H

Sample: 18,270 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-10-01
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 574 times

▸When AUDUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then AUDUSD moved to higher Market State: 178 times — 31%
  • then AUDUSD moved to lower Market State: 396 times — 69%

▸Current AUDUSD market energy: 64.2%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 10.3%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 4.2%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

AUDUSD · H4 · 2026-10-02 09:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-12.3%
Neutral
64.2%
Bull Critical
Expected at
00:10
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

After the 4H candle closes, AUDUSD classified as Bull Critical.

Market trend energy Compared to the previous candle (-12.3%), Market Energy rose +76.5% to 64.2%.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AUDUSD Market Energy ranged from -95.5 to +64.2.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did AUDUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 16:00 on 02-10-2026 closed, AUDUSD was at 0.69688, up 0.38% from the previous candle (0.69423). Market Energy was 64.2%, up 76.5 points from -12.3%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did AUDUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

AUDUSD closed at 0.69688, up 0.38% from the previous 4H candle (0.69423). This rise is larger than 89% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for AUDUSD, across 12,067 candles since 2019.

How did AUDUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 76.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from -12.3% to 64.2%. This is the largest of all rises on the 4H timeframe for AUDUSD on record since 2019.

Do AUDUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving up in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was AUDUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had AUDUSD at -12.3%, Neutral — when this candle closed, AUDUSD moved up to a higher zone: Neutral → Bull Critical.

Where does AUDUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 64.2%, AUDUSD is 10.3 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 4.2 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 80.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 97.6%. Against this backdrop, AUDUSD (Bull Critical, 64.2%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -11.6%. AUDUSD energy is currently above DXY by 75.8 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AUDUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AUDUSD on the AUDUSD overview →

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