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| Price | ▼ 0.95% | ▲ 0.40% | ▼ 0.39% | ▼ 0.87% |
| Energy | ▼ 56.9 | ▲ 3.6 | ▼ 2.1 | ▼ 46.9 |
Trend of Bear Critical XAUUSD 4H
▸When XAUUSD is in Bear Critical:
- then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 613 times — 71.1%
- then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 249 times — 28.9%
▸Current XAUUSD market energy: -64.13%
- Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 4.13%
- Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 10.37%
"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING
Following the completion of the 4H candle, Market Energy of XAUUSD indicates the Bear Critical reading.
Per the 2AI model, Market Energy dropped -46.9% this candle, currently -64.1% (previous candle -17.2%).
Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle
Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.
Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from -64.1 to +80.3.
Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.
What did XAUUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?
When the 4H candle at 00:00 on 09-09-2026 closed, XAUUSD was at 4,355.45, down 0.87% from the previous candle (4,393.74). Market Energy was -64.1%, down 46.9 points from -17.2%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.
How much did XAUUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?
XAUUSD closed at 4,355.45, down 0.87% from the previous 4H candle (4,393.74). This drop is larger than 95% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for XAUUSD, across 11,850 candles since 2019.
How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?
Market Energy fell 46.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from -17.2% to -64.1%. This drop is larger than 90% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for XAUUSD.
Do XAUUSD price and energy agree?
Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.
What state was XAUUSD in on the previous 4H candle?
The previous 4H candle had XAUUSD at -17.2%, Neutral — when this candle closed, XAUUSD moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Critical.
Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?
At -64.1%, XAUUSD is 4.13 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 10.37 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.
What does Bear Critical mean?
Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.
See the full Bear Critical definition →How are the broader market indices trending?
Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy -17.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 2.3%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Bear Critical, -64.1%) lower than SPX500, GER40.
How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?
Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -20.5%. XAUUSD energy is currently below DXY by 43.6 points.
See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.
Open Energy ChartSee the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →
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