Analysis

·

Price and energy
XAUUSD from 4,389.65 to 4,401.87, up 0.28%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 84.9% to Bull Extreme 98.7%, up 13.8 pts
Up candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.21%0.10%1.30%0.28%
Energy35.439.0121.813.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.21% 0.10% 1.30% 0.28% 35.4 39.0 121.8 13.8
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.28% — higher than 88% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 13.8 pts — higher than 61% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Extreme XAUUSD 1H

Sample: 69,468 1H candles from 2015-01-02 to 2026-09-17
Number of Bull Extreme occurrences: 2,558 times

When XAUUSD is in Bull Extreme:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 0 times0%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 2,558 times100%

Current XAUUSD market energy: 98.71%

  • Distance to peak 100%: 1.29%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 24.21%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · H1 · 2026-09-11 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live XAUUSD chart →
Market Energy
84.9%
Bull Extreme
98.7%
Bull Extreme
96.6%
Bull Extreme
Zone
74.5 – 100
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

The extreme Bull energy state is the result just recorded for XAUUSD after the 1H candle closed.

End-of-session energy readings on 1H, Market Energy rose +13.8% from the previous candle, from 84.9% to 98.7%.

Time in Bull Extreme energy zone: 2 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from -90 to +98.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XAUUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 20:00 on 11-09-2026 closed, XAUUSD was at 4,401.87, up 0.28% from the previous candle (4,389.65). Market Energy was 98.7%, up 13.8 points from 84.9%, in the Bull Extreme state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%.

How much did XAUUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

XAUUSD closed at 4,401.87, up 0.28% from the previous 1H candle (4,389.65). This rise is larger than 88% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for XAUUSD, across 45,598 candles since 2019.

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 13.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from 84.9% to 98.7%. This rise is larger than 61% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for XAUUSD.

Do XAUUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving up in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had XAUUSD at 84.9%, Bull Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Bull Extreme zone?

At 98.7%, XAUUSD is 1.29 points from the upper boundary of Bull Extreme (100%) and 24.21 points from the lower boundary (74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Extreme mean?

Bull Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 99.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 91%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Bull Extreme, 98.7%) sits in the same state zone as SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -96.8%. XAUUSD (Bull Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .