Analysis

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Price and energy
XAUUSD from 4,337.75 to 4,333.25, down 0.10%
Market Energy Neutral 2.1% to Bear Bias -36.8%, down 39.0 pts
Down candle #3 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.04%0.00%0.21%0.10%
Energy11.66.435.439.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.04% 0.00% 0.21% 0.10% 11.6 6.4 35.4 39.0
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.10% — higher than 57% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 39.0 pts — higher than 87% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias XAUUSD 1H

Sample: 69,352 1H candles from 2015-01-02 to 2026-09-10
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 5,374 times

When XAUUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 3,348 times62.3%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 2,026 times37.7%

Current XAUUSD market energy: -36.85%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 15.97%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 23.15%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · H1 · 2026-09-11 11:00 UTC
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Market Energy
2.1%
Neutral
-36.8%
Bear Bias
Expected at
20:10
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

As the 1H candle completes, XAUUSD in the Market Energy zone leaning Bear.

End-of-session update for 1H, Market Energy dropped -39% this candle, currently -36.8% (previous candle 2.1%).

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from -90 to +93.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XAUUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 18:00 on 11-09-2026 closed, XAUUSD was at 4,333.25, down 0.1% from the previous candle (4,337.75). Market Energy was -36.8%, down 39.0 points from 2.1%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did XAUUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

XAUUSD closed at 4,333.25, down 0.1% from the previous 1H candle (4,337.75). This drop is larger than 57% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for XAUUSD, across 45,596 candles since 2019.

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 39 percentage points from the previous candle — from 2.1% to -36.8%. This drop is larger than 87% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for XAUUSD.

Do XAUUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had XAUUSD at 2.1%, Neutral — when this candle closed, XAUUSD moved down to a lower zone: Neutral → Bear Bias.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -36.8%, XAUUSD is 15.97 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 23.15 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 78.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 79.1%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Bear Bias, -36.8%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 71.2%. XAUUSD (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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