Analysis

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Price and energy
XAUUSD from 4,394.07 to 4,378.96, down 0.34%
Market Energy Bear Critical -62.5% to Bear Extreme -75.7%, down 13.2 pts
Down candle #4 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.30%0.40%0.01%0.34%
Energy27.487.018.413.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.30% 0.40% 0.01% 0.34% 27.4 87.0 18.4 13.2
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.34% — higher than 92% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 13.2 pts — higher than 61% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme XAUUSD 1H

Sample: 69,353 1H candles from 2015-01-02 to 2026-09-10
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 2,177 times

When XAUUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 2,177 times100%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current XAUUSD market energy: -75.69%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 1.19%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 24.31%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · H1 · 2026-09-10 10:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-62.5%
Bear Critical
-75.7%
Bear Extreme
-86.1%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

After the 1H candle closes, XAUUSD within the Bear Extreme zone.

Market trend update: Energy delta -13.2%: Market Energy at -75.7%, previously -62.5%.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from -90 to +93.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XAUUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 17:00 on 10-09-2026 closed, XAUUSD was at 4,378.96, down 0.34% from the previous candle (4,394.07). Market Energy was -75.7%, down 13.2 points from -62.5%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did XAUUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

XAUUSD closed at 4,378.96, down 0.34% from the previous 1H candle (4,394.07). This drop is larger than 92% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for XAUUSD, across 45,572 candles since 2019.

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 13.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from -62.5% to -75.7%. This drop is larger than 61% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for XAUUSD.

Do XAUUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had XAUUSD at -62.5%, Bear Critical — when this candle closed, XAUUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bear Critical → Bear Extreme.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -75.7%, XAUUSD is 1.19 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 24.31 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -57.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -51.4%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Bear Extreme, -75.7%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 78.1%. XAUUSD (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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