Analysis

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Price and energy
XAUUSD from 4,444.58 to 4,493.06, up 1.09%
Market Energy Bull Critical 70.2% to Bull Extreme 98.0%, up 27.8 pts
Up candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.17%0.00%0.38%1.09%
Energy22.510.344.227.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.17% 0.00% 0.38% 1.09% 22.5 10.3 44.2 27.8
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 1.09% — largest on record (since 2019)
0%255075100%
Energy up 27.8 pts — higher than 80% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Extreme XAUUSD 1H

Sample: 69,352 1H candles from 2015-01-02 to 2026-09-10
Number of Bull Extreme occurrences: 2,553 times

When XAUUSD is in Bull Extreme:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 0 times0%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 2,553 times100%

Current XAUUSD market energy: 98.01%

  • Distance to peak 100%: 1.99%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 23.51%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · H1 · 2026-09-03 12:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
70.2%
Bull Critical
98.0%
Bull Extreme
86.0%
Bull Extreme
Zone
74.5 – 100
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

From the just-closed 1H candle data, Result for XAUUSD: the Bull Extreme energy zone.

The XAUUSD market at session end, Energy delta +27.8%: Market Energy at 98%, previously 70.2%.

Time in Bull Extreme energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from -98 to +100.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XAUUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 19:00 on 03-09-2026 closed, XAUUSD was at 4,493.06, up 1.09% from the previous candle (4,444.58). Market Energy was 98%, up 27.8 points from 70.2%, in the Bull Extreme state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%.

How much did XAUUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

XAUUSD closed at 4,493.06, up 1.09% from the previous 1H candle (4,444.58). This is the largest of all rises on the 1H timeframe for XAUUSD on record since 2019.

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 27.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from 70.2% to 98%. This rise is larger than 80% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for XAUUSD.

Do XAUUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving up in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had XAUUSD at 70.2%, Bull Critical — when this candle closed, XAUUSD moved up to a higher zone: Bull Critical → Bull Extreme.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Bull Extreme zone?

At 98%, XAUUSD is 1.99 points from the upper boundary of Bull Extreme (100%) and 23.51 points from the lower boundary (74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Extreme mean?

Bull Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 69.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 54.8%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Bull Extreme, 98%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -91.4%. XAUUSD (Bull Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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