Analysis

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Price and energy
XAUUSD from 4,437.45 to 4,430.65, down 0.15%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 100.0% to Bull Extreme 91.3%, down 8.7 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.23%0.27%0.13%0.15%
Energy6.10.10.18.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.23% 0.27% 0.13% 0.15% 6.1 0.1 0.1 8.7
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.15% — higher than 71% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 8.7 pts — higher than 47% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Extreme XAUUSD 1H

Sample: 69,352 1H candles from 2015-01-02 to 2026-09-10
Number of Bull Extreme occurrences: 2,553 times

When XAUUSD is in Bull Extreme:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 0 times0%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 2,553 times100%

Current XAUUSD market energy: 91.29%

  • Distance to peak 100%: 8.71%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 16.79%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · H1 · 2026-09-03 05:00 UTC
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Market Energy
100.0%
Bull Extreme
91.3%
Bull Extreme
52.0%
Bull Bias
Zone
74.5 – 100
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

From the just-closed 1H candle data, XAUUSD currently in the Bull Extreme energy zone.

The XAUUSD market at session end, Market Energy dropped -8.7% this candle, currently 91.3% (previous candle 100%).

Time in Bull Extreme energy zone: 6 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from -98 to +100.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XAUUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 12:00 on 03-09-2026 closed, XAUUSD was at 4,430.65, down 0.15% from the previous candle (4,437.45). Market Energy was 91.3%, down 8.7 points from 100%, in the Bull Extreme state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%.

How much did XAUUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

XAUUSD closed at 4,430.65, down 0.15% from the previous 1H candle (4,437.45). This drop is larger than 71% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for XAUUSD, across 45,454 candles since 2019.

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 8.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from 100% to 91.3%. This drop is larger than 47% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for XAUUSD.

Do XAUUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had XAUUSD at 100%, Bull Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Bull Extreme zone?

At 91.3%, XAUUSD is 8.71 points from the upper boundary of Bull Extreme (100%) and 16.79 points from the lower boundary (74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Extreme mean?

Bull Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 17.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 49.5%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Bull Extreme, 91.3%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -70.5%. XAUUSD (Bull Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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