Analysis

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Candle open
Price and energy
XAUUSD from 4,077.33 to 4,129.76, up 1.29%
Market Energy Neutral 7.2% to Bull Bias 56.3%, up 49.1 pts
Up candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.00%▼ 0.24%▲ 1.74%▲ 1.29%
Energy▲ 5.4▲ 2.4▲ 52.3▲ 49.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.00%▼ 0.24%▲ 1.74%▲ 1.29%▲ 5.4▲ 2.4▲ 52.3▲ 49.1
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 1.29% — higher than 85% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 49.1 pts — higher than 92% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias XAUUSD Daily

Sample: 4,002 Daily candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-10-04
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 351 times

▸When XAUUSD is in Bull Bias:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 173 times — 49.3%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 178 times — 50.7%

▸Current XAUUSD market energy: 56.33%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 3.67%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 35.45%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · D1 · 2026-07-21 21:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live XAUUSD chart →
Market Energy
7.2%
Neutral
56.3%
Bull Bias
23.8%
Bull Bias
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

The energy state leaning Bull recorded from just-completed Daily candle data for XAUUSD.

Market trend on the 2AiTrading energy system A +49.1% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now 56.3% (previous: 7.2%).

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from -52.8 to +56.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XAUUSD price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 04:00 on 22-07-2026 closed, XAUUSD was at 4,129.76, up 1.29% from the previous candle (4,077.33). Market Energy was 56.3%, up 49.1 points from 7.2%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did XAUUSD price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

XAUUSD closed at 4,129.76, up 1.29% from the previous Daily candle (4,077.33). This rise is larger than 85% of past rises on the Daily timeframe for XAUUSD, across 2,349 candles since 2019.

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 49.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from 7.2% to 56.3%. This rise is larger than 92% of past rises on the Daily timeframe for XAUUSD.

Do XAUUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving up in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had XAUUSD at 7.2%, Neutral — when this candle closed, XAUUSD moved up to a higher zone: Neutral → Bull Bias.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 56.3%, XAUUSD is 3.67 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 35.45 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 57.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 77.2%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Bull Bias, 56.3%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 78.9%. XAUUSD (Bull Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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