Analysis

XAGUSD 59.163 ↓1.55%: Bears in the peak-force zone · 4H 00:00 Oct 14, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 60.1 · High 60.185 · Low 59.162 · Close 59.163 · Range (high − low) 1.023
XAGUSD closed at 59.163, down 0.932 (-1.55%) from 60.095.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bear Bias zone at -23.3% to Bear Extreme at -94.4%, down 71.1 points.
Third straight down candle, price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price60.5560.45460.09559.163
Energy-10.8%18.7%-23.3%-94.4%
Price change↑ 0.39%↓ 0.16%↓ 0.59%↓ 1.55%
Energy change↑ 53.6↑ 29.5↓ 42.0↓ 71.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 0.39%↓ 0.16%↓ 0.59%↓ 1.55%↑ 53.6↑ 29.5↓ 42.0↓ 71.1
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.55% — higher than 93% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 71.1 pts — higher than 96% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme XAGUSD 4H

Sample: 21,213 4H candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-10-22
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 646 times

▸When XAGUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then XAGUSD moved to higher Market State: 646 times — 100%
  • then XAGUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current XAGUSD market energy: -94.37%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 19.87%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 5.63%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

XAGUSD · H4 · 2026-10-13 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live XAGUSD chart →
Market Energy
-23.3%
Bear Bias
-94.4%
Bear Extreme
-97.6%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Once measurement on the 4H timeframe completes, XAGUSD currently in the Bear Extreme measurement.

End-of-session energy readings on 4H, Market trend energy recorded a -71.1% drop from the previous candle, from -23.3% to -94.4%.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAGUSD Market Energy ranged from -94.4 to 76.8.

Frequently asked questions

What did XAGUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 00:00 on 13-10-2026, XAGUSD was at 59.163, down 1.55% from the previous candle (60.095). Market Energy was -94.4%, down 71.1 points from -23.3%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did XAGUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

XAGUSD closed at 59.163, down 1.55% from the previous 4H candle (60.095). This drop is larger than 93% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for XAGUSD, across 11,950 candles since 2019.

How did XAGUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 71.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from -23.3% to -94.4%. This drop is larger than 96% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for XAGUSD.

Do XAGUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was XAGUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had XAGUSD at -23.3%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, XAGUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Extreme.

Where does XAGUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -94.4%, XAGUSD is 19.87 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 5.63 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 13.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -44.6%. Against this backdrop, XAGUSD (Bear Extreme, -94.4%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -44.5%. XAGUSD (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAGUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAGUSD on the XAGUSD overview →

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