Analysis

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Price and energy
XAGUSD from 63.258 to 62.677, down 0.92%
Market Energy Bear Critical -61.2% to Bear Extreme -81.6%, down 20.4 pts
Down candle #3 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.10%0.83%1.09%0.92%
Energy5.520.435.320.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.10% 0.83% 1.09% 0.92% 5.5 20.4 35.3 20.4
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.92% — higher than 83% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 20.4 pts — higher than 73% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme XAGUSD 4H

Sample: 21,070 4H candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-09-11
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 640 times

When XAGUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then XAGUSD moved to higher Market State: 640 times100%
  • then XAGUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current XAGUSD market energy: -81.59%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 7.09%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 18.41%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

XAGUSD · H4 · 2026-09-14 09:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-61.2%
Bear Critical
-81.6%
Bear Extreme
Expected at
00:10
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Following the completion of the 4H candle, XAGUSD in the extreme Bear energy level.

The market energy reading A -20.4% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now -81.6% (previous: -61.2%).

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAGUSD Market Energy ranged from -98.1 to +69.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XAGUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 16:00 on 14-09-2026 closed, XAGUSD was at 62.677, down 0.92% from the previous candle (63.258). Market Energy was -81.6%, down 20.4 points from -61.2%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did XAGUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

XAGUSD closed at 62.677, down 0.92% from the previous 4H candle (63.258). This drop is larger than 83% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for XAGUSD, across 11,844 candles since 2019.

How did XAGUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 20.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from -61.2% to -81.6%. This drop is larger than 73% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for XAGUSD.

Do XAGUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was XAGUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had XAGUSD at -61.2%, Bear Critical — when this candle closed, XAGUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bear Critical → Bear Extreme.

Where does XAGUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -81.6%, XAGUSD is 7.09 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 18.41 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -80.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -31.9%. Against this backdrop, XAGUSD (Bear Extreme, -81.6%) lower than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 88.7%. XAGUSD (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAGUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAGUSD on the XAGUSD overview →

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